The Poll of Polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2026 places the DMK+ alliance led by M. K. Stalin in a leading position with 122 to 134 seats in the 234-member assembly. The AIADMK+ alliance under Edappadi K. Palaniswami is projected to secure between 80 and 88 seats, while TVK, led by Vijay, is estimated to win 15 to 23 seats. Other parties are projected to take 2 to 4 seats. This consolidated range reflects the overall trend derived from multiple agencies and places DMK+ above the majority mark of 118 seats.
PMARQ forecasts a stronger showing for DMK+, placing it between 125 and 145 seats. AIADMK+ is projected at 65 to 85 seats, TVK between 16 and 26 seats, and others between 1 and 6 seats.
Matrize also projects DMK+ ahead with 122 to 132 seats, followed by AIADMK+ with 87 to 100 seats and TVK with 10 to 12 seats, while others are estimated between 0 and 6 seats.
Praja Poll gives DMK+ a decisive lead with 148 to 168 seats, while AIADMK+ is projected at 61 to 81 seats, TVK is projected to win no seats, and others are estimated between 1 and 9 seats.
People’s Insight also gives DMK+ a lead with 120 to 140 seats, while AIADMK+ is estimated at 60 to 70 seats and TVK between 30 and 40 seats, with others projected at 0 to 4 seats.
JVC presents a different scenario, projecting AIADMK+ as the leading alliance with 128 to 147 seats, while DMK+ is estimated between 75 and 95 seats. TVK is projected to secure 8 to 15 seats, and no seats are given to others.
The VoteVibe exit poll projects a close contest, giving DMK+ between 103 and 113 seats, while AIADMK+ is placed ahead with 114 to 124 seats. TVK is estimated to secure between 4 and 10 seats, with no seats predicted for others.
Axis My India presents a contrasting picture, placing TVK in a strong position with 98 to 120 seats, while DMK+ is projected between 92 and 110 seats and AIADMK+ significantly lower at 22 to 32 seats. No seats are projected for others in this survey.
Kamakhya offers a more balanced projection, with DMK+ at 78 to 95 seats, AIADMK+ at 68 to 84 seats, and TVK closely competing with 67 to 81 seats, while others are not expected to win any seats.
Overall, the majority of exit polls indicate a lead for the DMK+ alliance, with several agencies projecting it above the majority mark. Based on these projections, the broader trend suggests the possibility of a second consecutive term for the DMK government, with M. K. Stalin expected to continue as Chief Minister.
